Player Props Zone — BetSyndicate

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Prop Under Delta Players vs top-5 toughest defenses · Sorted by under score

Stat Type

All REB 3PM AST PTS

Toughest PTS Defenses

OKC #4 11.7 avg allowed 21/43 held under own avg (48.8%)

Under Candidates

	Player	Matchup	Stat	Avg	L10 Avg	Delta	L10 Under	Season Under	Opp Suppress	H2H	Score
▶	De'Aaron Fox	SAS vs OKC #4	PTS	18.4	16.3	-2.1	7/10 <18.4 70%	50/88 57%	21/43 48.8% held under	15.2 (8g) ✗	35.1
Last 10 Games · PTS (avg 18.4 · threshold: 18.4) May 26 OKC 9 ✗ UNDER May 24 OKC 12 ✗ UNDER May 22 OKC 15 ✗ UNDER May 15 MIN 21 ✓ OVER May 12 MIN 18 ✗ UNDER May 10 MIN 24 ✓ OVER May 8 MIN 17 ✗ UNDER May 6 MIN 16 ✗ UNDER May 4 MIN 10 ✗ UNDER Apr 28 POR 21 ✓ OVER H2H vs OKC This Season 22 6 29 14 15 15 12 9
▶	Devin Vassell	SAS vs OKC #4	PTS	13.8	13.4	-0.4	7/10 <13.8 70%	43/85 51%	21/43 48.8% held under	13.8 (9g)	28.1
Last 10 Games · PTS (avg 13.8 · threshold: 13.8) May 26 OKC 6 ✗ UNDER May 24 OKC 13 ✗ UNDER May 22 OKC 20 ✓ OVER May 20 OKC 22 ✓ OVER May 18 OKC 13 ✗ UNDER May 15 MIN 11 ✗ UNDER May 12 MIN 12 ✗ UNDER May 10 MIN 14 ✓ OVER May 8 MIN 13 ✗ UNDER May 6 MIN 10 ✗ UNDER H2H vs OKC This Season 23 17 5 5 13 22 20 13 6
▶	Julian Champagnie	SAS vs OKC #4	PTS	10.9	10.5	-0.4	6/10 <10.9 60%	50/100 50%	21/43 48.8% held under	8.1 (10g) ✗	27.5
Last 10 Games · PTS (avg 10.9 · threshold: 10.9) May 26 OKC 22 ✓ OVER May 24 OKC 2 ✗ UNDER May 22 OKC 10 ✗ UNDER May 20 OKC 8 ✗ UNDER May 18 OKC 11 ✓ OVER May 15 MIN 18 ✓ OVER May 12 MIN 8 ✗ UNDER May 10 MIN 8 ✗ UNDER May 8 MIN 6 ✗ UNDER May 6 MIN 12 ✓ OVER H2H vs OKC This Season 3 4 0 13 8 11 8 10 2 22
▶	Victor Wembanyama	SAS vs OKC #4	PTS	24.6	24.9	+0.3	5/10 <24.6 50%	39/81 48%	21/43 48.8% held under	23.3 (10g) ✗	24.3
Last 10 Games · PTS (avg 24.6 · threshold: 24.6) May 26 OKC 20 ✗ UNDER May 24 OKC 33 ✓ OVER May 22 OKC 26 ✓ OVER May 20 OKC 21 ✗ UNDER May 18 OKC 41 ✓ OVER May 15 MIN 19 ✗ UNDER May 12 MIN 27 ✓ OVER May 10 MIN 4 ✗ UNDER May 8 MIN 39 ✓ OVER May 6 MIN 19 ✗ UNDER H2H vs OKC This Season 22 12 19 17 22 41 21 26 33 20
▶	Stephon Castle	SAS vs OKC #4	PTS	17.2	19.6	+2.4	5/10 <17.2 50%	46/85 54%	21/43 48.8% held under	19.2 (10g)	21.3
Last 10 Games · PTS (avg 17.2 · threshold: 17.2) May 26 OKC 24 ✓ OVER May 24 OKC 13 ✗ UNDER May 22 OKC 14 ✗ UNDER May 20 OKC 25 ✓ OVER May 18 OKC 17 ✗ UNDER May 15 MIN 32 ✓ OVER May 12 MIN 17 ✗ UNDER May 10 MIN 20 ✓ OVER May 8 MIN 13 ✗ UNDER May 6 MIN 21 ✓ OVER H2H vs OKC This Season 22 24 19 20 14 17 25 14 13 24

Model Rules

● Mirrors Prop Edge Delta — top-5 toughest defenses per stat suppress players BELOW their own season average

● Players must avg 25+ min/game. The "under line" is each player's own season average — personalized, not fixed

● REB: 4+ RPG avg · 3PM: 1.5+ 3PM avg · AST: 3+ APG avg · PTS: 10+ PPG avg

● The defense's track record: in their L10, how often do 25+ min players fail to reach their own average?

● Opp Suppress: In defense's L10 games, how many 25+ min players got held below their own season avg

● Score = L10 under rate × 20 + suppress rate × 0.15 + negative delta × 3 + H2H under bonus × 10

● Must have at least 1 under in L10 or H2H to qualify

Premium Access Required

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