Edge Finder
Matchup-based edges for tonight's games. Only surfaces when conditions are strong enough.
Under: Low Total + Slow Pace
65.4% hit rate on 81 picks · +24.9% ROI
No qualifying matchups today
Monthly Breakdown
| Month | Record | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 3-6 | 33.3% | -36.4% |
| 2026-02 | 13-4 | 76.5% | +46.0% |
| 2026-03 | 17-9 | 65.4% | +24.8% |
| 2026-04 | 18-9 | 66.7% | +27.3% |
| 2026-05 | 2-0 | 100.0% | +90.9% |
Recent Picks (last 20)
| Date | Game | Strength | Est Tot | Pace | Actual | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2 |  PHI@BOS |
3.5 | 225.9 | 193.8 | 209 | ✓ |
| May 1 |  LAL@HOU |
3.32 | 226.7 | 193.7 | 176 | ✓ |
| Apr 30 | BOS@PHI |
3.43 | 226.2 | 193.7 | 199 | ✓ |
| Apr 29 | HOU@LAL |
3.13 | 227.1 | 193.9 | 192 | ✓ |
| Apr 28 | PHI@BOS |
3.35 | 226.4 | 193.8 | 210 | ✓ |
| Apr 27 |  OKC@PHO |
3.01 | 224.7 | 196.1 | 253 | ✗ |
| Apr 26 | BOS@PHI |
3.3 | 226.4 | 193.9 | 224 | ✓ |
| Apr 26 | LAL@HOU |
3.05 | 227.3 | 193.9 | 211 | ✓ |
| Apr 25 | OKC@PHO |
3.02 | 224.7 | 196.1 | 230 | ✗ |
| Apr 24 | BOS@PHI |
3.16 | 226.7 | 194.1 | 208 | ✓ |
| Apr 24 | LAL@HOU |
3.0 | 227.4 | 194.0 | 220 | ✓ |
| Apr 22 | PHO@OKC |
3.02 | 224.7 | 196.1 | 227 | ✗ |
| Apr 21 | PHI@BOS |
3.03 | 226.9 | 194.3 | 208 | ✓ |
| Apr 21 | HOU@LAL |
2.82 | 227.8 | 194.2 | 195 | ✓ |
| Apr 19 | PHI@BOS |
3.02 | 227.0 | 194.2 | 214 | ✓ |
| Apr 19 | PHO@OKC |
2.89 | 224.9 | 196.3 | 203 | ✓ |
| Apr 12 |  ORL@BOS |
2.96 | 226.7 | 194.7 | 221 | ✓ |
| Apr 12 |  CHO@NYK |
3.21 | 227.2 | 193.6 | 206 | ✓ |
| Apr 12 |  BRK@TOR |
3.38 | 224.2 | 195.4 | 237 | ✗ |
| Apr 12 | PHO@OKC |
2.88 | 224.9 | 196.3 | 238 | ✗ |
B2B Fade + OffRtg Edge
62.7% cover rate on 83 picks · +19.6% ROI
No qualifying B2B matchups today
Monthly Breakdown
| Month | Record | Cover% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 5-3 | 62.5% | +19.3% |
| 2025-12 | 7-8 | 46.7% | -10.9% |
| 2026-01 | 12-8 | 60.0% | +14.5% |
| 2026-02 | 6-6 | 50.0% | -4.5% |
| 2026-03 | 17-5 | 77.3% | +47.5% |
| 2026-04 | 5-1 | 83.3% | +59.1% |
Recent Picks (last 15)
| Date | Pick (vs B2B) | Edge | Margin | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10 | ORL vs CHI |
0.4 | +24 | ✓ |
| Apr 10 |  MIL vs BRK |
0.84 | +17 | ✓ |
| Apr 8 |  DET vs MIL |
0.92 | +26 | ✓ |
| Apr 6 | DET vs ORL |
0.55 | -16 | ✗ |
| Apr 4 | DET vs PHI |
0.39 | +23 | ✓ |
| Apr 2 |  CLE vs GSW |
0.87 | +7 | ✓ |
| Mar 31 | MIL vs DAL |
0.4 | +24 | ✓ |
| Mar 30 | LAL vs WAS |
1.41 | +19 | ✓ |
| Mar 29 |  LAC vs MIL |
1.01 | +14 | ✓ |
| Mar 24 | CLE vs ORL |
0.71 | +5 | ✓ |
| Mar 22 | NYK vs WAS |
1.69 | +32 | ✓ |
| Mar 21 | CHO vs MEM |
0.94 | +23 | ✓ |
| Mar 19 | CLE vs CHI |
1.08 | +5 | ✗ |
| Mar 18 |  POR vs IND |
0.77 | +8 | ✓ |
| Mar 17 | OKC vs ORL |
0.65 | +5 | ✗ |
Defense Trending ATS
55.9% cover rate on 281 picks · +6.7% ROI
No teams with strong enough defensive trends today
Monthly Breakdown
| Month | Record | Cover% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 2-1 | 66.7% | +27.3% |
| 2025-12 | 13-13 | 50.0% | -4.5% |
| 2026-01 | 23-31 | 42.6% | -18.7% |
| 2026-02 | 38-26 | 59.4% | +13.4% |
| 2026-03 | 52-28 | 65.0% | +24.1% |
| 2026-04 | 14-14 | 50.0% | -4.5% |
| 2026-05 | 15-11 | 57.7% | +10.1% |
Recent Picks (last 20)
| Date | Pick | Trend | Net Gap | Margin | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 |  SAS vs OKC |
1.35 | -2.6 | -13 | ✗ |
| May 25 | NYK vs CLE |
2.3 | +5.1 | +37 | ✓ |
| May 23 | NYK vs CLE |
2.38 | +4.9 | +13 | ✓ |
| May 22 | SAS vs OKC |
1.72 | -2.8 | -15 | ✗ |
| May 21 | NYK vs CLE |
2.18 | +4.5 | +16 | ✓ |
| May 20 | SAS vs OKC |
2.18 | -2.6 | -9 | ✗ |
| May 19 | NYK vs CLE |
1.98 | +4.4 | +11 | ✓ |
| May 18 | SAS vs OKC |
2.02 | -2.8 | +7 | ✓ |
| May 15 | SAS vs MIN |
2.08 | +6.4 | +30 | ✓ |
| May 12 | SAS vs MIN |
1.19 | +5.7 | +29 | ✓ |
| May 11 | DET vs CLE |
1.12 | +4.1 | -9 | ✗ |
| May 10 | NYK vs PHI |
1.9 | +8.9 | +30 | ✓ |
| May 9 | DET vs CLE |
1.22 | +4.5 | -7 | ✗ |
| May 9 | LAL vs OKC |
2.57 | -10.3 | -23 | ✗ |
| May 8 | NYK vs PHI |
1.94 | +8.6 | +14 | ✓ |
| May 8 | SAS vs MIN |
1.1 | +5.8 | +7 | ✓ |
| May 7 | DET vs CLE |
1.37 | +4.2 | +10 | ✓ |
| May 7 | LAL vs OKC |
3.09 | -9.9 | -18 | ✗ |
| May 6 | NYK vs PHI |
1.59 | +8.6 | +6 | ✓ |
| May 5 | LAL vs OKC |
2.63 | -9.6 | -18 | ✗ |