Player Props First Basket Tip-Off 1Q Props Game Firsts ALT Streaks Longshots Under Delta Primed
Primed Picks — Trending Up vs Soft Defense
Players with L5 avg above season avg, 3+ of 5 recent games above avg, facing bottom-tier defense (rank #20-30 = softest). Rank #1 = toughest defense. Rank #30 = softest. Only soft matchups shown.
Primed REB Players 3 found
De'Aaron Fox
SAS vs OKC DEF #23 SOFT
REB O 3.5
89 games
⚠ Usage Drop -2.7
TEAMMATES OUT: David Jones Garcia
Season Avg
3.8
L5 Avg
5.8
+2.0 above avg
L10 Avg
4.2
H2H vs OKC (8g)
4.9
above avg
L5 MIN
30.6
-0.8 vs 31.4 szn
L5 USAGE (FGA+FTA+TOV)
15.7
-2.7 vs 18.4 szn
USG%
24.2%
Above avg: 5/5 L5
L5 hit rate: 100.0%
L10 hit: 60.0%
SZN hit: 51.7%
Opp allows: 4.8 avg
L5 Trend Up L10 Trend Up H2H Above Avg L5 Hit 80%+ ⚠ Usage Drop -2.7 9 signals
L5 Game Log
05/12
vs MIN
4
HIT
34.5m · 18.2u
05/15
vs MIN
4
HIT
24.4m · 11.9u
05/22
vs OKC
7
HIT
30.7m · 18.0u
05/24
vs OKC
10
HIT
30.9m · 13.4u
05/26
vs OKC
4
HIT
32.5m · 16.9u
H2H vs OKC (8 games)
12/13
2
MISS
12/23
3
MISS
12/25
4
HIT
01/13
5
HIT
02/04
4
HIT
05/22
7
HIT
05/24
10
HIT
05/26
4
HIT
Lines
DK 3.5 O -164 FD 2.5 O -423 MGM 3.5 O -165 CZR 3.5 O -154
Devin Vassell
SAS vs OKC DEF #23 SOFT
REB O 4.5
86 games
TEAMMATES OUT: David Jones Garcia
Season Avg
4.2
L5 Avg
5.4
+1.2 above avg
L10 Avg
4.7
H2H vs OKC (9g)
4.9
above avg
L5 MIN
38.6
+7.3 vs 31.3 szn
L5 USAGE (FGA+FTA+TOV)
13.6
+0.5 vs 13.1 szn
USG%
17.6%
Above avg: 3/5 L5
L5 hit rate: 60.0%
L10 hit: 60.0%
SZN hit: 41.9%
Opp allows: 4.8 avg
L5 Trend Up L10 Trend Up H2H Above Avg Min +7.3 4 signals
L5 Game Log
05/18
vs OKC
6
HIT
50.7m · 15.0u
05/20
vs OKC
4
MISS
37.5m · 15.9u
05/22
vs OKC
7
HIT
36.1m · 14.2u
05/24
vs OKC
6
HIT
33.0m · 10.6u
05/26
vs OKC
4
MISS
35.6m · 12.4u
H2H vs OKC (9 games)
12/13
5
HIT
12/23
5
HIT
12/25
4
MISS
02/04
3
MISS
05/18
6
HIT
05/20
4
MISS
05/22
7
HIT
05/24
6
HIT
05/26
4
MISS
Lines
DK 4.5 O -116 FD 3.5 O -284 MGM 4.5 O -160 CZR 4.5 O -125
Dylan Harper
SAS vs OKC DEF #23 SOFT
REB O 3.5
88 games
TEAMMATES OUT: David Jones Garcia
Season Avg
3.8
L5 Avg
5.4
+1.6 above avg
L10 Avg
6.0
H2H vs OKC (9g)
4.4
above avg
L5 MIN
26.9
+3.6 vs 23.3 szn
L5 USAGE (FGA+FTA+TOV)
12.7
+0.8 vs 11.9 szn
USG%
21.1%
Above avg: 3/5 L5
L5 hit rate: 60.0%
L10 hit: 80.0%
SZN hit: 51.1%
Opp allows: 4.8 avg
L5 Trend Up L10 Trend Up H2H Above Avg Min +3.6 1 signals
L5 Game Log
05/18
vs OKC
11
HIT
47.0m · 24.1u
05/20
vs OKC
2
MISS
24.8m · 11.9u
05/22
vs OKC
3
MISS
17.3m · 9.9u
05/24
vs OKC
5
HIT
20.6m · 8.6u
05/26
vs OKC
6
HIT
24.9m · 8.9u
H2H vs OKC (9 games)
12/13
4
HIT
12/23
3
MISS
12/25
3
MISS
01/13
3
MISS
05/18
11
HIT
05/20
2
MISS
05/22
3
MISS
05/24
5
HIT
05/26
6
HIT
Lines
DK 3.5 O 122 FD 3.5 O 130 MGM 3.5 O 105 CZR 3.5 O 120
Model Rules
Defense Rank Scale: #1 = toughest (allows fewest) · #30 = softest (allows most)
Only shows players facing defense ranked #20-30 (bottom-tier = gives up the most)
L5 avg must be above season avg (trending up, not down)
At least 3 of last 5 games above season avg (sustained, not 1 outlier)
Minimum 5 games played this season · Active roster only
Players listed as OUT on injury report are excluded · GTD players shown with warning
L5 Usage = FGA + 0.44×FTA + TOV (possession proxy) · USG% = NBA.com season usage rate
Teammates OUT listed per player — may indicate increased opportunity
Min avg thresholds: PTS 8+, REB 3+, AST 2+, 3PM 1+
All lines are real API data from DK/FD/CZR/MGM via Optic Odds — zero estimates
Signals: L5 Trend Up, L10 Trend Up, H2H Above Avg, Min +X, Usage +X, L5 Hit 80%+
Warnings: GTD (game-time decision), Min Drop (< -2 min), Usage Drop (< -2)